News here from ZDNet that some of the largest online travel agencies in the U.S. may shift their focus abroad in order to keep growing their business. Chief execs at Priceline, Orbitz and Expedia all said at a summit this week that they would be focusing on emerging markets in an aim to capture as much of those markets as possible.

Asia-Pacific seems to be the particular focus but there is still work to be done in Europe by some of these large players. Orbitz, Priceline and others such as Travelocity do not have the profile in Europe that Expedia have built up. I’d expect to see some more aggressive tactics over here from companies like them.

This could make it an even tougher year from domestic players especially with the economic climate in the U.S If the Americans stop spending I’d expect them to put their efforts into regions which are not so economically challenged.

Good article from Reuters here talking to Expedia CEO Dara Khosrowshahi about the prospects the current economic climate presents to the online travel agent.

It’s yet to show whether it will bite in the UK. Apparently more people than ever have booked their holidays in January (here and here from Travel Weekly). They believe 16% of people who plan to travel this year will have already booked in January. The fear among travel companies must be that if the economic conditions really bite we may not see all the rest of the 84% book as their plans may change as they reign in spending.

Time for some innovative marketing and aggressive pricing policies to make as much of the profits as you can before anything worsens perhaps? Or time to book a cheap holiday online.

Travel site of the day

February 8, 2008

Just been sent a link to this site, Sleepinginairports.com. Add it to the list of useful sites you visit before you travel somewhere!

CNN is reporting that some U.S. online travel stocks have been downgraded and as a result many more have dropped in value. Priceline, Orbitz and Expedia have been downgraded by analysts and Travelzoo have underperformed.

It’s interesting, makes me wonder if there is more about this than economic shocks in the U.S. I’d hazard a guess that they are beginning to suffer to price comparison sites and more technologically adept traditional players.

The growth these online agents experienced a few years ago had to slow eventually and it looks like the market is displeased. Expect Expedia to do best as they now have the media angle with Tripadvisor advertising revenues to take into account.

According to Reaction Engines it is! They’re a UK based company who have designed an eco-friendly airliner which could make the trip from London to Sydney in under five hours. They’ve received funding from the European Space Agency for their work under the project Long-Term Advanced Propulsion Concepts and Technologies.

The airliner is planned to carry 300 passengers at speeds of up to mach 5. Now that’s much more exciting and has much bigger repercussions for the travel industry than your latest web 2.0 fad ;-)

Business travel arrangement has always been best left to someone with experience at making sure all the timings match and everything runs like clockwork. Now Tripit have branched out by announcing a move to provide services aimed at business travellers and those who arrange/manage business travel.

I’m really loving Tripit, the beta works amazingly well and it’s definitely got a long life in my opinion. I’d like to see them actively trying to get more travel providers to sign up to allow their email confirmations to be processed as soon as possible. At the moment I’m just testing it and I’d really like to be able to play with it for real using my own travel plans. The new business functionality allows you to add meetings into an itinerary. A Tripit travel plan can now contain all your travel plans along with daily weather, driving directions, client meetings, restaurant reservations, city guides and more (massive room to cross sell off the itinerary here).

What’s the future for Tripit? Well, it could do fine on it’s own if it applies a sprinkle of advertising in the right places, or maybe it will tie up with online travel agents or become an affiliate to other sites and offer suggestions to fill any gaps in your itinerary (now that’s quite a nice idea, gaps for travel products but also pre-travel products maybe, copyright me please Tripit :-) ). However, my one fear for Tripit is that they get bought by a major player and just become a way of them helping users organise travel. Tripit adds the most value because it’s a standalone site and not linked to anyone, I hope they stay independent as they show so much promise!

Travel predictions for 2008

February 5, 2008

PhocusWright has released it’s 2008 Travel Trends report which looks at some of the developments in the marketplace that it expects to dominate the year. There’s a brief overview here.

In short they expect:

  • Mobile to grow (no massive surprise there, it’s been coming for years but travel has been very slow on the uptake)

  • Consolidation in the industry to continue (again a safe bet, I don’t think we’ve seen the last of the mergers, however this year I expect to see online only concerns looking at mergers to stimulate growth and increase market share)
  • Social and e-commerce approaches to converge (strange one this, I know there’s a lot of social experiments that are totally unconnected to a companies e-commerce facility but this will continue as players find their feet in the social waters. Any decent foray into social should always have an e-commerce edge anyway, even the most brand focused campaign should be aiming to drive bookers at the end of the day)
  • Metasearch to come of age (this could be the biggy! I’m waiting for Kayak or someone like that to launch fully dynamic packaging through metasearch, that could be a clincher that sees off the competition. I also expect tour operators to move towards a more metasearch model online by supplementing their product through GDS’)
  • Media-based pricing (interesting move from Expedia earlier this year that has triggered this one, will certainly be interesting to see if others move this way, especially those with their own stock as price flexing to match their media spend will be more difficult)

I think they’ve missed one big thing that we will begin to see on travel websites and that’s intelligent or guided search. My number one complaint is the lack of relevance in cross/upsell offerings that are pushed at you during an e-commerce process. The rise of tagging and meta data on products will help push this forwards (as well as the rise in technologies that provide this kind of functionality). Another interesting area to watch will be semantic web, expect to see a travel site of some sort try to get this right this year. Interesting year ahead!

Denmark’s Center for Regional and Tourism Research has released it’s latest figures on European online travel trends this week.

The report shows a 24% increase in sales of travel products online in 2007 (compared to 2006) and shows they now contribute 19.4% of the market as a whole. They’re expecting a further 18% growth in 2008 and up to 15% in 2009.

The UK still contributes the biggest share at 30% of online travel sales.

Packages accounted for 14.6% of sales, looking like there wasn’t much change from last year. God knows where dynamic packages fit in the report though, there’s no explanation. In fact it must be really hard to classify travel these days with so many sites selling components as a package (of course, as I’ve said before consumers really don’t know what’s a traditional package and what’s dynamic…).

Here’s the breakdown by type of product, full details can be found here.

45% growth in the last year is being reported for the affiliate marketing sector (according to Marketing Charts). The total value of online sales by affiliates was around £3 billion in 2007.

While that’s some very strong growth year on year it’s still a drop in the ocean compared to total online sales. I’d expect to see affiliates continue to grow at a rapid rate and other referral marketing channels such as paid search slow or even begin to drop in a year or two. As affiliates hone their skills, and retailers get more strategic they are going to become a far more cost effective way to get leads and sales for your website.

Top sectors for affiliate marketing in 2007? Financial services, Retail, Telecoms and Travel (travel attributes nearly 18% of online sales to affiliates).

I blogged about Tripit a while back. Since then it’s been gradually gaining momentum and receiving increasing interest from the travel industry and bloggers alike. Most are attracted by the simplicity of their offering and clever way they put together travel itineraries using your confirmation emails. Now they’ve announced another string to their bow.

Today, Tripit announced the addition of new ‘closeness alerts’ to their offering. The location based social ‘closeness’ alerts let you know who will be close to you by automatically alerting you to other travellers who’s plans will take them into your proximity. They’ve also added a feature (similar to WAYN’s) which lets you know who is coming to your hometown.

It’s all functionality that’s been done before (WAYN, Doppler etc etc) but Tripit is still a really nice service so adding these value add features even if they have been done before will entice more users to the service. It’s not attempting to be primarily a social network, rather it’s a travel tool which is adding social features.

Techcrunch have a screenshot of the new features here.

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